New Poll Shows GOP Surging Ahead Of Midterms
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Republicans just got massive midterm election news.
A new poll found Republicans and Democrats tied for the midterm elections.
This is far better than the last poll.
New – Generic Ballot poll
🔴 Republicans 50%
🔵 Democrats 50%Last poll – 🔵 Democrats +8
A 8% Swing from 🔵 ⏩ 🔴
Harris X #B – RV – 2/26
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) March 2, 2026
Republicans are surging after President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address and might be in position to defy history in the midterm elections, polling shows.
The Harvard Harris poll found Republicans are in a much better position heading into midterm elections than previously assessed.
The poll asked respondents if the congressional election were held today would they be more likely to vote for a Democrat or a Republican for Congress, finding likely midterm voters split down the middle. The results mark an eight-point swing towards Republicans in the Harvard Harris poll since January when 54 percent of respondents replied they would be more likely to vote for Democrats with only 46 percent opting for Republicans.
Only twice has a party retained both chambers of Congress in a midterm election with a president of the same party. In 1934, as the nation battled the Great Depression, Democrats expanded their majorities in the House and Senate under late President Franklin D. Roosevelt. In 2002, amid a patriotic fervor after the attacks of September 11, 2001, Republicans, with former President George W. Bush as commander-in-chief, also expanded their majorities.
Republicans also have a powerful message heading into the midterms.
When presented with the following hypothetical campaign message from the GOP, 54% of respondents said they found it “believable”:
Republicans say that they are returning responsibility to government by arresting criminals, closing the borders, keeping taxes low, and lowering energy costs. We can’t go back to the Democrats who were allowing our cities and way of life to deteriorate and prices on energy and food to soar while fraud took billions and billions of dollars of their giveaway programs.
Just 48% of respondents, meanwhile, said they found this hypothetical message from Democrats credible:
Democrats say we are for affordability. Free government services. Free housing and transportation. Healthcare for all. Free student loans. We have the money and can provide these services if you elect us to office and we will bring down the billionaires
Red wave!
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