Midterm Analysis Shows GOP Taking Back The Senate

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An analysis of midterm election polls from Statepolls.com shows the GOP taking back the senate in 2022.

The methodology takes polls and adjusts them to the right party representative percentages in each state.

The methodology for the analysis is explained.

1) Presidential Election 2020 Fox New Voter Analysis


2) Latest Poll(adjustment)

3) Voter registration statistics Trend + VBM

4) Oppostion Party’s Advantage on the Midterm

Here are the predictions by state:

Pennsylvania: Lean D

Arizona: Tilt R

Georgia: Tilt R

Wisconsin: Likely R

Nevada: Lean R

New Hampshire: Tilt D

Colorado: Lean D

North Carolina: Likely R

Outcome: GOP takes back the Senate and controls it 52-48